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On Wednesday, after much hype and drama, Steve Jobs walked onstage and unveiled Apple’s latest creation - the iPad. Having watched almost every key address for Apple for many years I, like many others, were disappointed that the product didn’t live up to the hype.
Nonetheless, Apple will sell a boatload of these products, but not as many as the iPhone.
Upon reflection, it occurred to me that Steve Jobs is changing the whole business model of Apple and I don’t believe anyone has caught on to this yet.
In all the reports I’ve read after the launch of the iPad, I think every writer /analyst missed this key point: Steve Jobs wants to be like King Gillette.
If you don’t know who King Gillette was, you may not old enough to shave. King Gillette started his business at the beginning of the century. His business model is what I believe Apple’s business model will be in the future.
Long ago, King Gillette decided to practically give the razor away at or below cost, but sell the razor blades separately.
So here’s what I think, I think Apple wants to give the iPhone and the iPad to as many people as possible at cost or with a small profit.
Remember now, AT&T subsidized the iPhone and Apple gets a slice of the pie from every AT&T customer that has an iPhone. Now why would they do that you might ask?
The key reason is that Apple wants the magic of recurring revenues. This is the dream of many companies - to have millions of folks paying a small amount of money every month for using a service. What makes Apple stand out is the fact that they have an army of developers who are writing code for some very cool apps. Yes, there is an app for that. In fact, there is an app for almost every idea ever thought of.
Not only has the app store been widely successful, but Apple also has iTunes, and iBooks along with iTV coming down the road. what I believe Apple’s business model is going to be: with 125 million people who have giving Apple their contact and credit card information, Apple has a huge base of customers much like the newspapers and magazines did in the ’60s and ’70s, but on a much smaller scale. Now Apple can upsell products to those customers at will. The genius part about all of this is the fact that other people are creating products to be sold through the Apple store. Apple just reinvented the King Gillette model in a thoroughly modern way. Hat’s off to you Steve.
This is Adam Hewison’s Apple’s business model.
Now let’s take a look at the stock.
In this short video, Adam explains to you some key factors I’m watching that I think will make the difference in this market. If you have a few minutes, please take the time to watch this juggernaut of a stock and what I think is ahead for the market in the next 2 months.
As always videos are free to watch and there is no registration required.
The only request that we make is that if you find the video interesting or even disagree with the analysis, please comment. I would love to hear from you.
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The holiday shopping season is just around the corner, with the promise of yet another Black Friday looming following Thanksgiving. While Black Friday gets its name from the fact that it puts many retailers in the black for the year, it's also known as a dark day for shoppers, as they run from store to store, spend countless minutes trapped in traffic jams, and quite literally fight for the best deal on the shelves.
But many people have learned there is an easier, calmer, and less stressful way of completing those shopping chores without fighting for a parking spot or dodging an elbow from another overzealous shopper. Internet retailers have blossomed during the past several years as a practical alternative to the brick-and-mortar retailer, and, just like everyone else, they are getting ready for the shopping season.
What was once the Earth's biggest bookstore has quickly become the Earth's biggest anything store, according to Hoover's. Expansion has propelled Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN) in innumerable directions. Its main Web site offers millions of books, music, and movies (which still account for most of its sales), not to mention auto parts, toys, electronics, home furnishings, apparel, health and beauty aids, prescription drugs, and groceries. Also, shoppers can download books, games, MP3s, and films to their computers or handheld devices, including Amazon's own portable reader, the Kindle.
From a technical perspective, the stock has skyrocketed more than 150% since the beginning of 2009. The equity has been locked in a strong uptrend along the support of its 10-week moving average since mid-December 2008. The security is currently hovering around round-number support in the 130 region as it consolidates its recent gains.
Meanwhile, short sellers are attempting to call a top to the stock's uptrend. During the past month, the number of AMZN shares sold short increased by 13% to 21.4 million. This accumulation of bearish bets accounts for more than 6% of the company's total float. An unwinding of these pessimistic positions could help propel the shares higher. Even Wall Street is holding back in its optimism toward the mega-retailer. According to Zacks, 10 of the 21 analysts following AMZN rate it a "hold" or worse. Any upgrades could help to boost the shares. Furthermore, the average 12-month price target for AMZN stands at $126.88, according to Thomson Reuters, representing a discount of more than 2% from its current trading price. Price-target increases from this group could attract fresh buying pressure to the shares.
To take advantage of a rally in the shares of AMZN following a strong holiday shopping season, traders should look to the equity's April 120 call (premium is 16% of stock price).
Contrarian Takeaway:
It seems that investors are just as skeptical of PALM's prospects as The New York Times, since the equity has backpedaled sharply from its recently tapped annual high of $18.09. The shares are now trading south of $12, and they're fighting a losing battle against resistance from their 10-day and 20-day moving averages. In fact, the equity's formerly supportive 10-week and 20-week trendlines recently completed a bearish cross, which could be a harbinger of additional downside to come.
However, it doesn't seem as though PALM is vulnerable to a large-scale unwinding of optimism, since the Times article more or less sums up the prevailing attitude toward the Pre parent. Short interest ticked up by 3.5% during the most recent reporting period, and these bearish bets now account for a lofty 38.3% of the security's float (or 5.2 times PALM's average daily trading volume). In other words, there's no shortage of traders betting against this smartphone upstart. Analysts are also firmly entrenched in the bearish camp, with Zacks reporting 16 "hold" or "sell" ratings, compared to just four "buy" or better recommendations. With so much pessimism levied against the stock, it seems safe to assume that many of the concerns raised in this article have already been priced into PALM shares. While the equity's current price plunge suggests that it's too soon to try and bet against the herd, the swelling bearish chorus on Wall Street could indicate that the shares are very close to finding a floor.
Have a question about any of the content in this Report, submit your question or comments in the comment space below and share this experience with all your contacts and clients.
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Pierre Pienaar is the owner of Xcellence Wealth Creator.
As an International Trader, Marketer, Business/Financial Consultant & International Buyer/Client/Investor/Product Sourcing Consultant, Financial Management Strategist, for more than 10 years, I assist people worldwide to create not only Income, but also Wealth through responsible Forex, Option, CFD’s, ETF’s, Futures, Worldwide Socially Responsible Investments, Green and Renewable Investment Opportunities, and Gold Bullion Trading. It is a combination of Financial Ventures that create Income Opportunities as well as Tools and Tips to build Business & Wealth on Websites, Blogs and Social Networking.